Young Master Smeet

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  • in reply to: The Singularity Rises #95284
    ALB wrote:
    The November/December 2012 issue carried an article by Massimo Piglucci. a philosopher of science who writes a regular "Thinking About Science" column, entitled "Singularity As Pseudoscience".

    Well, that is one strong critique (certainly against the 'Rapture of the Nerds' end of the spectrum).  But singularity also includes the possibility of human augmented intelligence, or network emergence.A couple of examples.  Cricket: despite the ashes referral issues, one effect of technology has been to radically alter LBW calls.  For years, human eye umpiring was giving not out to balls that Hawkeye proved were actually plumb.  So, now the humans have responded by learning what a real LBW looks like, and are calling it better.  Likewise, I've used this before, but early Twentieth Century chess masters were apparently blunder prone, and missed lines that are obvious to the current generation, who have been trained and schooled with computer chess programmes that can show them the deep outcomes of their choices.The point isn't that an artificial person might be created, but that intelligence-like activities, such as lawyering, or designing bridges, could be computerised and could be better than the human version.

    in reply to: The Singularity Rises #95280

    Well, it's a philosophical problem that might be solved by computing methods.  Though the computer tech response is to say that the question of whether a computer can think is as uninteresting as asking whether a submarine can swim.  After all, Bertrand Russell after 350+ pages didn't manage to prove 1+1=2 (he got to a partial proof, but never managed to define addition), but that doesn't stop us using maths in any case.  A computer beat Gary Kasparov at chess (with, yes, the help of human programmers), so we know that 'intelligence-like' capabilities can be produced by computers, up to the point where we may get computer designers producing schematics of cars for robot factories to build.BTW, I am taken with Searles Chinese box argument, but a fully virtualised brain could by-pass the question of intentionality.

    in reply to: What would real democracy look like? #95247

    To start with a quote I quite like:

    Quote:
    In reality these words now have a social meaning in which the political meaning is dissolved. The Revolution itself was something quite different from a struggle for this or that form of State, as people in Germany still quite frequently imagine that it was. The connection of most insurrections of that time with famine, the significance which the provisioning of the capital and the distribution of supplies assumed already from 1789 onwards, the maximum, the laws against buying up food supplies, the battle cry of the revolutionary armies — “Guerre aux palais, paix aux chaumières” [War to the palaces, peace to the cottages] — the testimony of the Carmagnole[2] according to which Republicans must have du pain [Bread] as well as du fer [Arms] and du coeur [Heart, courage] — and a hundred other obvious superficialities already prove, without any more detailed investigation of the facts, how greatly democracy differed at that time from a mere political organisation. As it is it is well known that the Constitution of 1793 and the terror originated with the party which derived its support from the insurgent proletariat, that Robespierre’s overthrow signified the victory of the bourgeoisie over the proletariat, that Babeuf’s conspiracy for equality revealed the final consequences of the democracy of ‘93 — insofar as these were at all possible at that time. [3] The French Revolution was a social movement from beginning to end, and after it a purely political democracy became a complete absurdity.Democracy nowadays is communism. Any other democracy can only still, exist in the heads of theoretical visionaries who are not concerned with real events, in whose view it is not the men and the circumstances that develop the principles but the principles develop of themselves. Democracy has become the proletarian principle, the principle of the masses. The masses may be more or less clear about this, the only correct meaning of democracy, but all have at least an obscure feeling that social equality of rights is implicit in democracy. The democratic masses can be safely included in any calculation of the strength of the communist forces. And if the proletarian parties of the different nations unite they will be quite right to inscribe the word “Democracy” on their banners, since, except for those who do not count, all European democrats in 1846 are more or less Communists at heart.

    http://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1845/12/01.htmApologies for extended quote, but the point remains, that the various logical and abstract tools we can imagine for democracy take secondary place to the real social movement and the classes that underlie it.  I see no reason, for example, for a socialist society not to use representative democracy, but also referendums, juries, etc.

    in reply to: “Socialist” Party of Great Britain #95177

    Not wishing to speak for Stuart, but he's recently said this article:http://leftunity.org/which-way-for-left-unity-the-case-for-the-left-party-platform/ more or less summises his political reasoning/trajectory.  It's part of an interesting debate within the new left unity mob, one that reprises, funnily enough, the one that lead to our foundation.I can remember, when I were a bairn, that in the school playground two lads would put their arms over each other's shoulders, and start chanting: "All join up for playing (rounders/tigs/hide and seek, etc.).  New lads would join the line, until most of the playground were in the chain (and playtime ended before we could play tigs, rounders, hide and seek, etc.).The debate there is that you'll get more people to link arms if you just chant 'All join up' without having any specific game in mind.  It's a valid argument, but I know I come down on the other side, that without a specific objective it will end up being like St. Joseph's playtime.

    in reply to: Organisation of work and free access #94801

    http://www.worldsocialism.org/spgb/pamphlets/capitalism-socialism-how-we-live-and-how-we-could-live Can't deep link, but the section "Technology in Capitalism and Socialism" may be what you're looking for.

    Quote:
    Another difficulty is that modern science and technology have developed with capitalism. This makes it seem at times that there are good scientific and technical reasons for the complexity of life and work in the modern capitalist state. Capitalist propaganda takes advantage of this and often tries to turn the frustration and anger that workers feel on to scientific and technical workers, as though they were the ones who decided to make the obscene weapons of modern war, thalidomide, battery farms or polluted rivers. Of course, it is capitalist business and the capitalist state that decide what workers shall produce or what experiments and research they will fund.

      etc.

    in reply to: Organisation of work and free access #94788
    LBird wrote:
    If humans are involved, ideology is involved. 'Scientists' are humans, and are not non-ideological beings, but are products of our class-divided society.

    No amount of ideology, though, will allow anyone to square a circle : the scientific process exists between humans, and the moves in its language game are valid or invalid according to to the process and irrespective of any ideational set.

    in reply to: “Socialist” Party of Great Britain #95165
    gnome wrote:
    Depends surely on whether those personal views conflict with or are detrimental to the interests of the Party…

    Not if the person who holds them accepts that they are not the policy of the party and accepts the democratic decision of the party.  That's the advantage of having an agreed party position, we can disown rogue voices. Oh, and don't call me Shirley.

    in reply to: “Socialist” Party of Great Britain #95153

    Frankly, I'd rather not be a member of an organisation that expelled people for having their own personal views. The position of the party, as democratically decided is pretty clear.   For instance: "trade unions being a necessity under capitalism, any action on their part upon sound lines should be heartily supported." (Manifesto fo the Socialist Party).  "Trade union" above can stand in for any organisation for the defence of the living conditions of the working class.Of course,  that means we do not fetishise lawfulness any more than we would fetishise lawlessness: we recognise that most confrontations with the state will lead to the victory of the big battalions (or the small ones with the heavy fire-power).What we stand for is effective action, and the most effective action is building a mass movement for the abolition of capitalism.

    in reply to: Run mad screaming #94710

    Almost as bad as when they are using science against us, is when they won't use science:

    Quote:
    In both word and deed, Thatcher expressed hostility towards feminism, which explains why Britain’s first female head of government insisted on being known as the first British prime minister with a science degree. ‘Who are you?’, she asked Dr John Ashworth, the Chief Scientist, as he entered No. 10 for the first time. ‘I am your Chief Scientist’, Ashworth replied. ‘Oh,’ said Thatcher, sharply, ‘do I want one of those?’ Ashworth explained he was preparing a report in the new subject area of climate change. Thatcher hurled a fierce stare. “Are you standing there and seriously telling me that my government should worry about the weather?’ She then announced to the Chief Scientist that her government had no room for a minister for science. ‘I’m a scientist’, she said. ‘I shall be my own Minister for Science.’

    https://theconversation.com/margaret-thatcher-tales-of-power-and-vainglory-15639

    in reply to: Trade unions pushing a particular political party #94692

    Actually, according to Luke Akehurst :

    Quote:
    We are basically asking other unions to follow UNISON’s model of an opt-in affiliated political fund (APF) and a separate general political fund, which seems to work well. It has the advantage of us being able to tell the assorted Trot and Stalinist political parties that like to infiltrate some unions that they are not allowed anywhere near the affiliated political fund or its policies.

    Now, what happens in practice is that the unaffiliated fund becomes a back-door 'support Labour style policies' fund (believe me, I've tried to opt out of paying my political levy, and it isn't easy).  So, this begins to look more and more like a canny move.  I'd bet a lot of the Affiliated Fund payers are just there by default, rather than an active choice (someone often helps fill in the form).

    in reply to: Egypt #94571

    Hmm, Interesting article at the Weakly W.http://cpgb.org.uk/home/weekly-worker/969/egypt-not-the-next-stage-of-the-revolution

    Quote:
    The reality is that, for all the lofty phrases about defending the poor and seeking social justice, political Islam – be it in Egypt, Turkey or Iran – is failing dramatically, mainly because it cannot provide answers in the face of the global crisis of capital. Out of power it was easy for Islamist populists in the Middle East and north Africa to blame the westernised upper classes for poverty, the gap between rich and poor, and so on. But in power Mursi, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Iran’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad followed exactly the same economic policies as their predecessors, both on a national and international level.

    And I think that's the key.

    in reply to: Egypt #94570

    From what I'm hearing, and this may be rhetoric, some of Morsi's opponents are effectively accusing him of being anti-democratic, in the broad sense beyond nose counting.  For instance, his attempt to rule by decree (something Chavez succeeded in doing). The bloc of working class votes gives oppositionists an incentive to court workers and their freedom, it also gives the working class an incentive to court the peasant vote as well.  I think it remains preferable to any form of military dictatorship (even a, if you will, constitutional military dictatorship).  That the generals have had to call a fresh poll indicates there is a democratic hope available, and maybe municipal autonomy for the big cities will allow compromise between the two forces.The other question is whether the military played a long game, and then orchestrated a popular uprising…

    in reply to: The long awaited conspiracies thread #94476

    This article from Lobster makes some good points:http://www.lobster-magazine.co.uk/articles/l29consp.htm

    Quote:
    Conspiracy theories are like black holes–they suck in everything that comes their way, regardless of content or origin…Everything you've ever known or experienced, no matter how 'meaningless', once it contacts the conspiratorial universe, is enveloped by and cloaked in sinister significance. Once inside, the vortex gains in size and strength, sucking in everything you touch.

    and

    Quote:
    However that may be, real covert politics, although by definition hidden or disguised and often deleterious in their impact, simply do not correspond to the bleak, simplistic image propounded by conspiracy theorists. Far from embodying metaphysical evil, they are perfectly and recognizably human,with all the positive and negative characteristics and potentialities which that implies. At the most basic level, all the efforts of individuals to privately plan and secretly initiate actions for their own perceived mutual benefit –insofar as these are intentionally withheld from outsiders and require the maintenance of secrecy for their success–are conspiracies. Moreover, in contrast to the claims of conspiracy theorists, covert politics are anything but monolithic. At any given point in time, there are dozens if not thousands of competitive political and economic groups engaging in secret planning and activities, and most are doing so in an effort to gain some advantage over their rivals among the others. Such behind-the-scene operations are present on every level, from the mundane efforts of small-scale retailers to gain competitive advantage by being the first to develop new product lines to the crucially important attempts by rival secret services to penetrate and manipulate each other.
    in reply to: 300 years of crisis #94452
    ALB wrote:
    The chart defines "Total Factor Productivity" as

    Quote:
    GDP growth minus the contributions of labour and capital weighted by their shares in output. The labour share includes the income of the self-employed.

    Capital is defined "as the non-housing whole economy capital stock" and labour as "the whole-economy total hours worked".  Profit doesn't seem to enter into it, at least not directly.

    True, but they wouldn't measure profit as we'd understand it (as we understand it is broader than companies and individuals would understand it, since we'd include rent and interest).  It may just be the nearest we'd get to a measure of ROP.

    in reply to: Brazil: “Free Access Movement” #94458

    Part of the equation is the President's political history:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dilma_Rousseff#Education_and_early_political_awarenessShe is actually a time served physical force guerilla (admittedly, in the context of a military dictatorship), but presumably she is more inclined to use 'the people'  to advance her ideology (even if it is state capitalist).  Indeed, I believe she and her predecessor, Lula, have rebutted attempts to try and portray their movement as a moderate alternative to Chavism.This is a bit like a (whisper it) Prime Minister Miliband using mass protests to remember that he was Tony Benn's intern.

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