Russian Tensions
- This topic has 5,949 replies, 42 voices, and was last updated 6 hours, 2 minutes ago by
.
-
Posts
-
TM – “Why is Canada invested in Europe’s Russophobia?”
As the crow flies the distance at the closest point between Canada and Russia is 770 miles. Not far off the distance between Lands End and Lerwick in the Shetlands. Between the two two closest points between Russia and Canada are vast areas of so far generally untapped mineral rich resources. There are also, due to global warming, increasingly important and lucrative shipping and trade routes across the arctic region. I’m sure you can work the rest of it out.
And does Canada really think that it and Europe can militarily challenge Russia without US military backing? Or are they just awaiting a new US president, which is why we are being given the year 2030 as the kick off for WW3? (If they are really so stupid as to think capital accumulation can continue when the workers are all dead and all resources destroyed)?
They themselves in their bunkers will eventually run out of oxygen and food.
“And does Canada really think that it and Europe can militarily challenge Russia without US military backing?”
Well, EU defence annual spending (which does include some non NATO defence spending) has a 2026 Projection: €454 billion ($528 billion) total expenditure. Canadian defence spending is about $63 billion. UK defence spending is about $90 that makes about $681 billion. Add to that Ukrainian defence spending is $84 billion you get a sum of $765 billion of spending without US support. Given that Russia has a spend of about $190 billion and is struggling a little with regards to that state’s war aims, I it would be a reasonable assumption that Europe and Canada would probably feel confident that it could challenge Europe without US backing. Given that defence spending is a very crude estimate of military capability, for instance a Russian 5th Generation Main Battle Tank costs an estimated $6 million, and a Japanese 5th generation MBT is estimated at $11 million, it would still seem that joint European and Canadian defence forces would easily challenge Russia militarily.
Wars are not caused by hysteria generated by anyone. Hysteria is used to whip up workers to mass slaughter. Wars are caused by the competing commercial, strategic and economic interests of the various different gangs who are exploiting workers in each geographic region.
Britain and France have over 615 nuclear war heads over 400 of which are currently deployed, nearly 300 of them are French, which are independently operated. I personally do not think it will be likely that either side would take the chance of starting a thermonuclear war.
So Bijou, you do think the talk of war with Russia means there will be war between Europe and Russia soon?
No I don’t. Russia is clearly struggling after 4 and 1/2 years of outright war and over 12 years since the start of the conflict in the Donbas region. I can’t realistically imagine that the Russian ruling class would sanction Putin to get involved in an even greater conflict which will decreasr the amount of surplus value that they have to spend on super yachts and champagne.
In one of Hardy’s economics classes I remember him saying that there is always a point where the ruling class decide that the impact and cost of the “praetorian guard” becomes greater than its value to the ruling class.
At some point various sections of the ruling class will decide that having Xi, Putin, and to an extent Trump, etc. having the ability to “chop the heads” of the property owning classes is more expensive and more risky than developing a much cheaper and less risky bourgeois democracy.
I do, however, acknowledge that there are pressures on politicians and state officials from other sides. Army leaders will always want bigger budgets to inflate their egos and their salaries. Arms manufacturers will be keen to make hay whilst the sunshine of workers being killed burns brightly.
The ruling classes do have some interests that unite them, but there is also conflict between them.
Just like the five families of the New York Mafia, they will cooperate at times, fall out with each other at times, encourage hapless fools to kill other hapless fools in the the interests of their own particular section of the ruling class just as long as this allows them continue to act as parasites on those they prey on.
When that starts to threaten the part of the pie they are able to devour, they usually agree on a compromise, I’m pretty sure that will happen soon. I would predict that Russia (with or without Putin) will be partially reintegrated into the world economic system within the next 5 years.
An old definition of a rifle is “a steel tube with a member of the working class at each end”
They are saying that trump is a crazy and lunatic guy but he has not dropped one single atomic bomb in Iran and the Iranian know that he is not going to do that He has threatened them but he doesn’t dare to do that
He bombs dropped in Japan were scientists experiments made on a civil population with limited consequences and the Japanese were already defeated and those two cities were preserved the rest of Japan was completely destroyed
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.