Reply To: Russian Tensions
Until Bahkmut falls (the Soledar battle a battle that never featured in any of your earlier pronouncements but now somehow grows in prominence) and the Kiev government capitulates or Russia withdraws to Feb 2022 the war is in an actual stalemate.
Yourself has predicted outright victory for Russia and the accomplishment of its primary purpose – ‘denazification’, demilitarisation, defeat of NATO expansionism and annexation of Donbas – None have been achieved other than partial control of the Donbas.
Will the expected imminent offensive by Russia succeed?
It may bring some territorial gains but all Russia can hope for is it could produce negotiations that result in a ceasefire such as we see in Korea and Kashmir, a stalemate. Certainly, permanent peace will not prevail.