Reply To: Chinese Tensions
A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would probably fail if the United States helped defend the island – but would come at a debilitating cost to the American military itself, according to military experts brought together by the Center for Strategic and International Studies to war game the conflict
The wargaming tested 24 different scenarios focused on China attempting to seize the island by invasion in 2026.
Without America’s help, Taiwan would be conquered by the People’s Liberation Army in three months or less.
Chinese missiles would probably destroy US airbases in Japan and as far as Guam, and sink two US aircraft carriers and between 10 and 20 destroyers and cruisers as the invasion opened.
The Chinese invading force itself would be destroyed before it ever occupied any significant part of Taiwan and ultimately it would be prevented from its goal of capturing the island’s capital Taipei.
“The United States might win a pyrrhic victory, suffering more in the long run than the ‘defeated’ Chinese,” the report said