Reply To: Russian Tensions
” Russian military reporter “Rybar”, who said Russian possession of the E40 and T0504 did not constitute operational encirclement.
“Thanks to the network of branched ring roads in the fields between the main routes, Ukrainian formations almost unhindered transfer reinforcements to the crucible of the Bakhmut meat grinder,” Rybar wrote.”
All-in with the MI6 even you must now see the writing on the wall. Bakhmut is about to fall. The Ukrainians have nothing but fields and maybe a country lane or two to flee by. It’s all but over for the troops there unless they evacuate now. Kiev ordered their Nazis in Mariupol to stay put and become encircled. Will they do similarly now. We’ll soon find out.
“Rybar also belied the claim that the E40 was taken or even under Russian fire control. He said Ukraine was preparing to tactically withdraw from Paraskoviivka in order to make a firmer stand at neighbouring Berkhovka, a way station on the E40 highway through which it was still able to supply Bakhmut with ammunition.”
Maybe he’s right, maybe he’s wrong but either way, and as I’ve been saying, Bakhmut is soon to fall to the Russians.
“Prigozhin confirmed the Ukrainian resupply of men and ammunition.”
He is well known for delaying big news. Perhaps he’s doing so again?
“My thinking is that Ukraine can lose control of Bahkmut but it still won’t make it a great strategic advance.”
It means the collapse of Ukraine’s main defence line in Donbass. You’re obviously not very good at reading maps.
”6 months to do it…how many months to take Kramatorsk?”
Lol. And what’s happened in the meantime? Oh, that’s right… Russia has mobilised 380,000 more men and Ukraine has run out of tanks and artillery shells. I’m sure that won’t make any difference at all on the battlefield. I’m very curious All- in with the deep state. You claim to have no dog in this fight and to be a materialist and yet you endlessly parrot NATO state media and ignore all evidence Ukraine is losing catastrophically. Why is that?
“In fact, vast swathes of the Donets-Luhansk area could be captured but it won’t lead to Ukraine’s capitulation or Russian victory.”
What are Russia’s war aims All-in with NATOstan and how will you judge whether or not they’ve achieved those aims?
“I stick with the scenario that it will be a protracted prolonged war as I do6 months to do it…how many months to take Kramatorsk?”
Donbass free by August. Not far off.
“In fact, vast swathes of the Donets-Luhansk area could be captured but it won’t lead to Ukraine’s capitulation or Russian victory.”
And when the whole of the Donbass is captured in August as Ritter estimates? Then what?
“I stick with the scenario that it will be a protracted prolonged war as I don’t see much movement towards any ceasefire armistice.”
Ritter thinks Moscow will give Kiev one last chance to negotiate after Donbass is taken. If the offer is refused, it’ll be all the way to the Polish border.
