{"id":791,"date":"2019-03-05T15:29:12","date_gmt":"2019-03-05T15:29:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsm.prolerat.org\/?page_id=791"},"modified":"2019-10-20T13:00:31","modified_gmt":"2019-10-20T12:00:31","slug":"searching-for-scarcity","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/searching-for-scarcity\/","title":{"rendered":"Searching for scarcity"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted\">May 1997, U.K.<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>There is an abundant supply of most of the mineral resources required by human society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8216;There&#8217;s nothing to worry about, just leave everything to the market system,&#8217; is the message of free-marketeer, Julian Simon in his respose to the concerns of environmentalists. Such a sweeping generalisation calls for intense questioning (see <a href=\"wsm\/the-environment\/\">Environment section<\/a>). Still, Simon provides us with some interesting facts in his book, <em>The Ultimate Resource 2<\/em>, which show that in many respects we live in a world of abundance. Ironically, this calls into question the scarcity assumption upon which his free market philosophy rests <a href=\"wsm\/economists-not-on-this-planet\/\">(Economists &#8211; Not On This Planet)<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nowhere is his contribution more valuable than in the facts he provides about world\nmineral reserves, which are required in so much of world production&#8230;&#8230; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Simon is the first to point out the need for caution here, given that there are many\ndifferent grades of each such resource. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Reserves are often difficult to measure &#8211; new discoveries are often made. Very\nsignificant also is scope for re-using them. Still, Simon unwittingly gives away what\nsocialists have already known &#8211; that the market system often further distorts such\nmeasurements: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>A small change in the price of a mineral generally makes a very big difference in the\n  potential supplies that are economically available &#8211; that is, profitable to extract.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>It may be uneconomical for a profit-making enterprise within capitalism to mine certain reserves at certain times but the entirely different priorities in a society where production is for use and not profit could overturn these false assumptions. See <a href=\"wsm\/eco-socialism\/\">(Eco-Socialism)<\/a> for more about the need for such a change in priorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>Summing it all up, for nearly all of the important nonrenewable resources, the known or\n  confidently expected world stores are thousands of times as great as the annual world\n  consumption. For the few which like petroleum are available in relatively small\n  quantities, substitutes are known or potential sources of alternative supply are at hand\n  in quantities adequate to meet our current needs for may thousands of years. There is no\n  prospect of the imminent exhaustion of any of the truly essential raw materials, as far as\n  the world as a whole is concerned.(<em>The Ultimate Resource 2<\/em>, p49) <\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Simon is not alone in making such a strong claim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>95 percent of the world demand is for five metals which are not considerd\n  exhaustible.&#8221; (<em>The Next 200 Years: A Scenario for America and the World <\/em>&#8211;\n  H.Kahn, W.Brown, L.Martel , p48)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>He has the support of work by H.E.Goeller &amp; A.M.Weinberg in the highly reputed <em>American\nEconomic Review<\/em>. They explored the implications of possible substitution in the use of\nraw materials that are essential to our civilisation, with this result:- <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>We now state the principle of &#8216;infinite&#8217; substitutability. With three notable\n  exceptions &#8211; phosphorus, a few trace elements for agriculture, and energy-producing fossil\n  fuels (CH2) &#8211; society can subsist on inexhaustible or near-inexhaustible minerals withe\n  relatively little loss of living standard. Society would then be based largely on glass,\n  plastic, wood, cement, iron, aluminium, and magnesium.(quoted in <em>The Ultimate Resource\n  2<\/em>, p49)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Author: DG<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Please email your comments about this article to <a href=\"https:\/\/mailto:feedback@worldsocialism.org\">feedback@worldsocialism.org<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>To the <a href=\"wsm\/resources\/\">Resources Index<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Back to the <a href=\"https:\/\/worldsocialism.org\/wsm\">World Socialist Movement home page<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>May 1997, U.K. There is an abundant supply of most of the mineral resources required by human society. &#8216;There&#8217;s nothing to worry about, just leave everything to the market system,&#8217; is the message of free-marketeer, Julian Simon in his respose to the concerns of environmentalists. Such a sweeping generalisation calls for intense questioning (see Environment&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"magazine_newspaper_sidebar_layout":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-791","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/791","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=791"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/791\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2569,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/791\/revisions\/2569"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.worldsocialism.org\/wsm\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=791"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}