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Machine,
Heal Thyself
Isn't
it annoying when you approach a red traffic light and have to sit
there waiting for it to turn green, despite the fact that there are
obviously no other cars or pedestrians coming from any direction?
What if the traffic light itself was equipped with a bit of
intelligence and could decide to turn green if it was safe, all the
while talking to its friends across town, collectively regulating
traffic flow according to prevailing conditions? Apart from the
shortening of journey times and the saving in carbon emissions, it
would be an example of something we are likely to see more and more
in the future, the self-configuring network.
An
engineered system implies by definition an engineer who entirely
understands and controls that system, at least in its initial state.
But relying on permanent factory settings in a dynamic system is
almost never efficient, and today's production systems are so complex
and involve so many parameters that engineers often have no idea what
will happen if one detail is altered, or how best to solve a problem
that arises. One approach to this problem of complexity is to get the
system itself to devise its own solution. This may be more effective
for the simple reason that machines don't rely on human intuition.
Which
would make for a quicker exit for a crowd of people, an open doorway
or a doorway with a large obstruction in front of it? Perhaps
surprisingly, it is the doorway with the obstruction. It turns out by
experiment that with an open doorway everyone rushes at it in a mad
stampede, whereas an obstruction regulates the flow, leading to a
more orderly and efficient passage for everyone. In a similar way,
there is a perceived inverse ratio between motorway traffic density
and speed of throughput, but this can be wrong. As density increases,
drivers change lanes less often, and throughput thereby actually
increases rather than decreases. The point of this is that intuition
can take you the wrong way when devising organised systems.
In
one car production system (New Scientist,
Aug 9) efforts to assign assembly robots in the most efficient way
failed, until the robots themselves were given the task of organising
their own work via a bidding system. The result was an unpredictable
and counter-intuitive ad-hoc schedule devised by the robots which was
more efficient and saved $1m per year.
There
is an important principle here that socialists can use. One of the
more ingenious arguments against socialist theory is that, without
the mediating agency of money, a highly complex socialist production
system would be hopelessly incomprehensible, involving so many
parameters that no central plan or design could realistically manage
it. Leaving aside the audacious hypocrisy of critics who are
perfectly at home with the savage chaos of their own economic system,
as well as their tendency to overstate the complications of a
steady-state economy with no booms, busts or advertiser-driven
consumer faddism, such complexity as would exist does not really
present us with a problem. Just like an intelligent traffic flow
system, we could devise a 'smart' resource system, using throughput,
usage and energy information to optimise itself, reconfiguring
whenever necessary. Thus, our answer to our critics' objection that
we could never consciously regulate socialist production. We don't
have to regulate it, so long as it regulates itself.
How
to drive in a competitive (w}edge
In
2005 the Socialist Party produced a video entitled Capitalism
and
Other Kid's Stuff, in which the contention was made that if as an
experiment you take a group of kindergarten kids and deprive all the
children of their toys, giving everything to just one child, some
very hostile and competitive behaviour will be the result. Though
this was more argument by analogy than rigorous scientific
hypothesis, a recent study appears to have confirmed
this
proposition
by performing exactly this experiment, with the predicted consequence
(Who ever said that girls aren't competitive? New
Scientist, June 28). A group of pre-school
boys and girls were observed, first with enough toys to go round,
then with all the toys taken away so that only one
child
was left
with any possessions. The objective of the experiment was to find out
if girls would be as competitive as boys. The study showed that there
was a marked increase in competitive behaviour in both gender groups,
differing in expression between boys and girls yet equally aggressive
in their own way. Boys tried to grab the toy, or chase the child with
the toy, while girls punished the owner with more subtle ploys
including social exclusion, whispering and hiding.
What
is curious about this experiment is not so much the result but the
interpretation placed on it. The study focussed entirely on the
gender characteristics of competitive behaviour without appearing to
consider what caused it in the first place. It may be the fault of
the journalistic news item rather than the study, but the impression
created is that boys and girls are a priori competitive, not that
boys and girls become competitive if you do unusually mean things to
them. In this view, the experimenters actually created the very
behaviour they thought they were 'discovering'. What is missing is
any account of the children's behaviour before the toys are removed,
but one can reasonably assume a greater level of cooperative play.
Socialists would draw a quite different conclusion from all this.
Instead of showing that girls are as competitive as boys (and why
wouldn't they be?), the study demonstrates effectively that private
property is a hugely divisive social factor, even among four-year
olds. The significance of this can scarcely be overstated. In the one
interpretation, we are innately and will always be competitive,
implying the inevitability of social models built on that behaviour.
In the other, such behaviour is provoked in us only when an outside
agency actively dispossesses and disempowers us,implying the
desirability of developing a social model which avoids doing this to
us.
In reality the kids gave the owner a hard
time.
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