Pathfinders
Look down there, and tell me
what you see...
Politics
involves, among other things, the art of retrofitting analyses onto
past events which were incomprehensible to most people at the time. On
the occasion of the fortieth anniversary of the iconic May ’68 student
protests in Paris the media will be full of articles, potted histories,
personal accounts and think-pieces, all turning over the events of that
tempestuous period and asking where it all ended up and whether it
really changed anything.
Is there any sense in which the world really is different now?
Certainly there have been changes, the fall of the Berlin Wall being
the most significant. But whereas politics has for the most part gone
round in circles, science has leapt off the starting blocks and
disappeared down the track. 1968, it is worth recalling, was before
humans landed on the moon. It was before the first microprocessor, the
first home computer or the first email. It predated superstring theory,
buckyballs and nanotubes. It was before Hubble, or Mars landers or
photographs of Jupiter, Saturn, and the outer planets. It was before
biotech, stem cells or Dolly the sheep. It was from an era, incredibly,
when we knew – knew – that whatever happened to the dinosaurs would
never be discovered. It was before we ever suspected that all the
humans on the planet are descended from one female in Africa. In 1968
lodging houses could still display signs reading ‘No Blacks, No Pets,
No Irish’, as racism and sexism formed part of the cheap post-war
furniture we sat on as we watched Till Death Us Do Part on black and
white TVs, just before turning off the boring news reports about
strikes, civil rights, and some vague ‘police action’ in a place called
Vietnam.
What nobody could really have imagined in
1968 was that scientists might one day hold centre-stage in a political
debate that would encompass the interests of the whole of humanity. The
1960’s was the decade of black emancipation, which black people
achieved after a fashion, in that flagrant discrimination is now
technically illegal. The 1970’s was given over to ‘women’s liberation’,
as it was called, something which seemed like a good idea at the time
but is arguably not much further forward than it was then. Class
politics in the UK seemed to have a little spell in the sun during the
1980’s thanks to the Miners’ Strike and the Poll Tax hoo-ha, though
this was short-lived. After that the Wall came down and with it the
last Grand Illusion. Then the Greens came, briefly, to the fore in the
public consciousness before it was realised that, worthy though they
may be, they didn’t possess the collective political wit to punch their
way out of an ozone bubble. From then on, and with all sectional
interests apparently exhausted leaving some nihilistic post-modernist
torpor, some people started listening to the scientists.
All except
America, under Bush, to whom scientists were the very worst kind of
extremists, the kind you just can’t negotiate with. Elsewhere, and with
a decade of freakish droughts, heatwaves, cold snaps, tornadoes, floods
and crop failures to reinforce a justifiably growing sense of alarm,
the world’s captains of capitalism were forced reluctantly to dine at
well-stocked table after table in order to put aside their nationalist
differences and ask how in blazes they were going to continue to stay
in power when climate change was going to cause anarchy and they were
all going to be murdered in their beds by starving rioting populations.
Is it good that
politicians are listening to scientists? Yes, because scientists are
the only people who cannot plausibly be accused of a political agenda,
and who therefore have no incentive to lie or distort facts. But
politicians are not really listening to everything scientists say, only
that portion of it that they can conveniently do something about. And
scientists, of course, like charities, have not been accustomed to
addressing questions they considered outside their scope, such as
global inequality. But as the weight of evidence mounts, that is
changing. Increasingly, some scientists are putting the words ‘carbon’
and ‘capitalism’ together, if the normally reliable New Scientist is
anything to go by (April 19), and asking searching questions about the
market’s ability to do anything in the face of its own blind refusal to
face facts and change its behaviour. The facts of world hunger and
preventable disease no longer seem outside the purview of scientific
examination either, and although capitalism itself is not yet in the
dock, its representative governments are increasingly subject to
cross-examination by a body of academics and researchers who have the
facts at their fingertips and a disinclination to be put off by
rhetoric and flim-flam.
Of course,
governments don’t listen to radicals. Even though Nicholas Stern, the
World Bank’s former chief economist, calls global warming ‘the greatest
market failure the world has ever seen’, it will be dismissed in the
corridors of power as mere panic-mongering by a former minion hungry
for publicity. But it doesn’t matter. Governments aren’t going to
create change in any case. The people who really need to listen to
scientists are the people. They need to realise that it is no longer a
question of race politics, as it might have seemed on the day, in 1968,
when they shot Martin Luther King. It’s not a question of women’s
politics, as it might have seemed to some on the publication of The
Female Eunuch in 1970. Today’s battle for the Democratic leadership and
the presidency of the USA is, after all, between a rich black man and a
rich white woman, and no voter with a modest grasp of realities expects
either result to change capitalism in any important way. It’s no longer
about sectional interests within a given socio-economic framework.
Today, it is a question of survival, and the framework itself is being
challenged. The real obstacle to change is what it has always been, the
same obstacle which blocks any real progress on the impending food or
water crisis, on the biofuels controversy, on carbon capping, on the
rampant waste of resources, and on global warming. It is class
ownership, and the fact that the owning class are raping and destroying
the world is increasingly being brought to the headlines by scientists
with no axe to grind and no political cards up their sleeve. Workers
should have learned by now never to trust a politician. Quite right.
But let’s hope people start taking more notice of the back-room
boffins, because they are asking questions which, until now, only
socialists – and a certain German economist – have ever asked. The
progress of scientific thinking along the socialist path has been
cautious, but it is built on solid empirical foundations which have
come a long way in the last forty years. The case for abolishing
capitalism, the socialist case, is increasingly being backed by
conservative science as well. And we certainly didn’t see that coming
in 1968.
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